WTO at the Crossroads: Legal Challenges and Strategic Responses in a Fragmented Trade Order
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17605/cajssh.v6i4.1211Keywords:
World Trade Organization, Dispute Settlement System, Trade Fragmentation, Regional Trade Agreements, Geoeconomic Tensions, WTO ReformAbstract
The World Trade Organization (WTO) faces unprecedented challenges, including a paralyzed dispute settlement system, fragmented trade rules, and stalled multilateral negotiations. These issues have led to a rise in regional trade agreements and unilateral trade measures, undermining the WTO's core principles of consensus and global trade liberalization. This article examines the WTO's legal challenges, the impact of geoeconomic tensions, and the strategic responses being proposed to reform the organization. It also explores the future of multilateral trade governance, emphasizing the urgent need for institutional reform to prevent further fragmentation and preserve the WTO's central role in global trade. The article diagnoses legal and institutional weaknesses that have pushed the WTO toward fragmentation, maps the geopolitical and policy drivers behind rising regionalism and unilateralism, and sets out pragmatic legal and governance responses to restore effective multilateral rulemaking and dispute settlement. Results Through doctrinal analysis, case studies, and negotiation record review, it identifies Appellate Body paralysis, consensus-induced gridlock, substantive rule gaps (subsidies, industrial policy, digital trade, state enterprises), and the rise of plurilateral and regional alternatives, and it proposes a two-track set of remedies combining immediate operational fixes (interim appellate arrangements, targeted interpretive clarifications, temporary plurilateral bridges) with phased institutional reforms (procedural adjustments, enhanced transparency, capacity building). The study’s contribution lies in integrating legal doctrine, political‑economy diagnosis, and institutional design into a cohesive, sequenced reform roadmap that prioritizes legally implementable interim mechanisms while setting criteria for deeper governance change. Implications Adoption of the proposed measures could arrest further fragmentation, enable coordinated responses to supply‑chain, climate, and digital regulation challenges, and rebuild the WTO’s normative centrality; conversely, failure to pursue the reforms risks entrenching competing governance forums, eroding dispute settlement predictability, and weakening multilateral trade governance.
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